LONDON -- British Prime Minister David Cameron and Scottish First
Minister Alex Salmond signed a deal Monday agreeing the date and wording
of a referendum that will ask Scottish voters whether they want to
remain in the 305-year-old union with England.
The agreement --
which stipulates that Scotland will decide on the matter no later than
fall 2014 -- comes after months of delicate negotiations between
the British government in London and the Scottish Parliament in
Edinburgh.
Under the terms of the agreement, the referendum should “deliver a
fair test and a decisive expression of the views of people in Scotland
and a result that everyone will respect.”
"This marks the beginning of an important chapter in Scotland's story and allows the real debate to begin," Cameron said in comments prepared for delivery and released by his office in advance.
'Biggest opportunity'
Scottish Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, who was closely involved in the backroom negotiations that led to the referendum agreement, called it “the biggest opportunity the people of Scotland have had for 300 years to determine the kind of nation we all wish to live in.”
Scottish Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, who was closely involved in the backroom negotiations that led to the referendum agreement, called it “the biggest opportunity the people of Scotland have had for 300 years to determine the kind of nation we all wish to live in.”
The
timing of the referendum appears to be a victory for Salmond, whose
Scottish National Party (SNP) has campaigned for decades for the right
of Scots to determine the country’s destiny for themselves.
With recent opinion polls showing only around 30 percent of Scots supporting independence, Cameron is believed to have favored an earlier vote.
The prime minister has publicly opposed a break-up of the union, arguing that countries are "stronger together".
But
Cameron has been under increasing pressure to bring forward legislation
after the SNP made significant gains in Scottish Parliament elections
in May 2011, taking full control of Scotland's devolved government after
gaining power through a coalition in 2007.
A remarkable, and
rapid, transformation has shifted Scotland’s political terrain since the
first devolved parliament was established in 1999.
The SNP,
frequently campaigning on a ticket of an independent Scotland, has seen
its fortunes improve at the expense of mainstream parties affiliated to
London's Westminster parliament.
Behind the SNP’s rhetoric is the belief that independence will make Scotland more successful.
The SNP points to successful countries like Sweden and Norway, which function well as smaller states.
In
its publicity material, the SNP claims: “We will be able to address the
priorities of people in Scotland, from better state pensions to
universal free childcare. Scotland could do even more to lead the world
in areas like renewable energy and tackling climate change, and play our
part in creating a more peaceful and stable world.”
Funding the plan
But these bold aspirations require the financial capacity to deliver them.
But these bold aspirations require the financial capacity to deliver them.
London
argues that an independent Scotland, which has a huge government
sector, would struggle to balance the books. The bulk of Scotland's
current funding comes from an annual $48 billion grant from the U.K. government.
The most contentious issue -- one likely to dominate debate in the
run-up to the referendum -- is the ownership of an estimated 20 billion
barrels of oil and gas reserves that lie beneath the British part of the
North Sea.
Scotland has long laid claim to the tax revenues of the fossil fuels that flow ashore and many analysts believe the pro-independence campaign will need to deliver the money in order to deliver its policies.
For
now, the next step will be for the Scottish Parliament to bring
legislation to allow the referendum to take place. In that, there will
be a world of detail for both sides to chew over, including the wording
of the referendum question, the right of younger people to vote and how
the campaign will be financed.
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